Government and policy have already turned the page on poverty, despite the dramatic figure and worst sign as a trend

Official data on the level of poverty in the country, published before just 48 hours, He has already disappeared from the political agenda. Strictly speaking, it occupied the front line of this agenda only for a while, and it did various exculpations and small crosses. Nothing even close to a debate. The contrast with everyday life and with the archive is very strong: now published figure is dramatic -an impressive rise- and the trend is news even worsebecause management worsens after management.

The numbers are staggering. The INDEC report notes that poverty reached in the first half of this year 52.9% population in the main urban agglomerations of the country. Translated into a national total: approx 24 million people. Within this image is 18.1% needy. And all this with the addition revealed by other studies: the percentages increase especially among children and adolescents.

The job in question is occupied 28 pageswith a breakdown by geographical areas, age, development of basic baskets and other data that reveal the condition of half the population, including limitations of this type of statistics based solely on income create lines of need and poverty. Information from consecutive orders – except dark stage of an official body in the second level of the ČFK – adds the option of analyze the fall as a sequence and its effectssomething that doesn’t move current liability.

The play of the hour was predictable and at the same time shocking given the severity of the situation, which the report shows with detailed numbers. The government, already in the previous one, stood out received the inheritance and above all to explain the situation as a consequence of a unavoidable adjustmentwithout measuring the speed at which edge picture compared to current policies and into the future difficulty of improvement in the case of the economic recovery process.

In the ruling media, they point out that after the first semester – the period measured by INDEC in the poverty report – and especially in August and September, the numbers around some economic recoveryuneven depending on activity. Also a salary improvement regarding inflation accumulated since January, although not in the year-on-year and in a different way in registered private activity, in the public sector and in the informal sector.

Of course, the central battle for the ruling party remains curb and reduce inflation. It is, apart from the considerations of various consultants, the center of gravity in the economic line strong fiscal line.

They supported the line of argument about the social costs of the last Peronist/Kirchnerist administration and its foothills in a prominent place Mauricio Macriwhich pointed against “consequences of populism” and “economic dislocation” Kirchnerism. Below, the crosses were recorded on social media. The greatest example of an attempt to take off whatever responsibility it might have been Victoria Tolosa Paz: “All yours, Miley.was his catchphrase. And exchanging bullies exhibited by Juan Grabois and Patricia Bullrich.

He recorded an increase in poverty in the first half of this year more than 11 percentage points about what happened in 2023. In this first phase, Milei revealed a record similar to the years after the 2001 crisis. alarming jumpwhich at the same time confirmed the constant of recent governments, of various political colors: the increase regarding previous efforts and consolidation of structural poverty in increasingly higher degrees.

The statistical path is not linear. They exist falling moments and subsequent peaks. Some examples are worth it. It happened with Cristina Fernández de Kirchnerwhich in the second period followed the improvement of the first and despite the manipulation and stopping of surveys quit climbing in 2015. Macri achieved an initial respite but the second half of his administration forced him to disagree with what he himself considered his central test. AND Alberto Fernandezafter a touted improvement over numbers marred by a massive quarantine, It ended badly in this area as well.

The data is expressed in numbers and on a timeline. CFK saw an improvement in its first phase which ended with a 25.9%and in his second delivery the numbers worsened. Amidst the blackout imposed on INDEC, other studies suggest it has ended with more than 30 points. Macri started with that step and – then normalize official measurement – transferred government s 35.5%.

In the cycle of Alberto Fernández and CFK, it got worse again: it ended with 41.7%. It is true that, according to the standard, equivalent semesters must be compared, but in any case the panorama does not change with what has just been reported about Milea’s first six months, the escalation that will reach 52.9%. It is possible that if the equation between income and inflation – strictly speaking, the underlying basket – is positive and sustainable, the indices will improve.

In any case, even in this scenario, it is worth considering the main aspect: the relationship between poverty and phases of economic improvement or decline. poverty it deepens quick in moments of serious crisis but it does not return at the same rate in cycles of economic improvement and growth.

This with an addendum that reveals the severity of the deterioration: increasingly higher floor level marked by surveys. For twenty years, poverty was recorded above 25%. And since 2018, it has not fallen lower 30 points.

As you can see, no one can claim to be a foreignerinside and outside what is called “politics”.