Ukraine hopes Putin’s nuclear threats won’t stop its allies from allowing Western missiles to be used against targets on Russian soil
Ukraine I hope the last one nuclear threats Kremlin it does not prevent its allies from finally granting permission to use Western long-range missiles against military targets on Russian soil, which it needs to disrupt Russia’s intensified airstrikes and weaken its pressure on the front line.
“The Russians will be the first to know that permission has been granted for a deep strike into Russian territory. Only then will an official statement be made,” the president’s spokesman, Sergui Nikiforov, told Ukrainian television. Volodymyr Zelenskyi.
According to Nikiforov, Ukraine has explained to its partners in great detail how lifting the ban would help it defend itself, and expects them to respond to this “huge need.”
Although some members of the US presidential administration have expressed doubts about the potential effectiveness of long-range strikes against Russia, Moscow’s own response underscores how much it would like to avoid them, Ukrainian military analysts say.
A few days after the Russian president Vladimir Putinwill announce changes to its nuclear doctrine that would widen the base for the possible use of nuclear weapons, its Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov warned on Saturday against “trying to fight for victory with a nuclear power” in a speech to the UN General Assembly.
The change in Russian nuclear doctrine just before a key election in the United States is an obvious element Russian information campaignwhich aims to limit international support for Kyiv, writes Oleksandr Solonko, a political analyst and drone pilot for the Ukrainian military.
It is not really a secret that regardless of what is written in the doctrine, the decision to “push the button” rests with Vladimir Putin, he claims.
Putin will not order a nuclear attackstated k EFE Chairman of the Foreign Affairs Committee of the Ukrainian Parliament Oleksandr Merezhko.
“Putin is aware of the taboo on the use of nuclear weapons, which has existed since 1945, and that breaking it would make him a total pariah internationally,” he explains.
According to the deputy from the Zelenskyi party, Russia could not continue the war without support Chinawhich, for example, supplies it with the technology used in its military production.
Putin knows that using a nuclear bomb would mean lose that support. Like other nuclear powers, China has an interest in preventing other countries from acquiring their own atomic bomb, which they would do to protect themselves if Russia broke the nuclear taboo.
The dubious technical status of Russia’s nuclear arsenal, illustrated by the recent failed launch of the Sarmat intercontinental ballistic missile, is another limiting factor, among many others, military analysts say.
The problem is that even Western politicians who agree with these arguments can still use Russian nuclear rhetoric to argue against allowing long-range strikes on Russian territory or limiting or halting military aid to Ukraine in general, Solonko says.
While the United States and other allies are still hesitant to give Ukraine a key tool to destroy Russian airfields and ammunition depots, Russia continues to drop hundreds of guided aerial bombs weekly to advance the front line and destroy nearby Ukrainian cities.
However, increasing threats from Russia make it difficult for the United States to continue its overly cautious policy, plagued by voluntary limits on military aid to Ukraine due to concerns about “pitch”notes Mikola Bielieskov, a military analyst from the National Institute for Strategic Studies of Ukraine.
According to him, Putin has made it clear that he wants a free hand to subdue Ukraine, and Ukraine’s allies will have to choose between a final increase in support for Ukraine or a concession to Russia.
“Give carte blanche to Russiacountry with nuclear weapons, conquering a non-nuclear country, Ukraine, would destroy the world order faster than any nuclear weapon that Putin threatens to launch,” Bielieskov emphasizes in X.
“I hope that those in power will understand and not allow this blackmail to work this time,” Bielieskov said.